Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000607 0.000691 0.000780 0.000881 0.000993 0.001112 0.001247
2025-11-09 0.000474 0.000590 0.000721 0.000880 0.001066 0.001275 0.001528
2025-11-16 0.000387 0.000513 0.000663 0.000853 0.001083 0.001353 0.001689
2025-11-23 0.000324 0.000455 0.000618 0.000831 0.001100 0.001424 0.001839
2025-11-30 0.000283 0.000418 0.000592 0.000827 0.001133 0.001511 0.002007
2025-12-07 0.000250 0.000387 0.000570 0.000826 0.001166 0.001597 0.002173
2025-12-14 0.000219 0.000356 0.000545 0.000816 0.001185 0.001663 0.002314
2025-12-21 0.000192 0.000327 0.000519 0.000801 0.001197 0.001717 0.002440
2025-12-28 0.000179 0.000317 0.000519 0.000823 0.001256 0.001835 0.002652
2026-01-04 0.000166 0.000304 0.000513 0.000835 0.001302 0.001937 0.002843
2026-01-11 0.000149 0.000285 0.000496 0.000828 0.001320 0.001999 0.002982
2026-01-18 0.000133 0.000266 0.000478 0.000819 0.001333 0.002054 0.003111
2026-01-25 0.000123 0.000255 0.000470 0.000826 0.001371 0.002146 0.003295
2026-02-01 0.000111 0.000241 0.000459 0.000826 0.001397 0.002221 0.003458
2026-02-08 0.000097 0.000219 0.000432 0.000799 0.001383 0.002237 0.003536
2026-02-15 0.000085 0.000202 0.000410 0.000779 0.001376 0.002263 0.003628
2026-02-22 0.000077 0.000190 0.000399 0.000775 0.001394 0.002325 0.003773
2026-03-01 0.000070 0.000181 0.000390 0.000774 0.001416 0.002393 0.003927
2026-03-08 0.000063 0.000169 0.000376 0.000764 0.001423 0.002438 0.004049
2026-03-15 0.000056 0.000158 0.000361 0.000751 0.001423 0.002473 0.004155
2026-03-22 0.000053 0.000156 0.000365 0.000771 0.001480 0.002595 0.004395
2026-03-29 0.000050 0.000152 0.000364 0.000783 0.001522 0.002696 0.004605
2026-04-05 0.000045 0.000143 0.000353 0.000776 0.001533 0.002748 0.004740